There’s no better way to enjoy a primetime matchup than by building a same-game parlay. The problem? Most SGPs are longshots designed to drain your bankroll. Those flashy +1,000,000 tickets look fun, but they almost never cash. The books want you to bet on those! At FTN, we take a different approach to SGPs.
Using our Same-Game Parlay Tool, powered by 10,000 simulations for every matchup, we identify spots where the odds are actually mispriced. That means you’re not just throwing darts, but you’re building parlays with real edges, even when the payouts are big.
New York Jets @ New England Patriots Same-Game Parlay
The Patriots come into this game with all the confidence in the world. They’ve won seven straight and enter as 13-point favorites against their divisional rival, the Jets. New York may also be riding a two-game winning streak, but after trading away Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams at the deadline, the team is clearly in tank mode. That should open the door for New England to find plenty of success. Not only is Sauce gone, but his replacement, third-round pick Azareye’h Thomas, has been ruled out as well, setting the stage for fireworks from the Patriots offense.
Check this one out on BetMGM.
Leg 1: Drake Maye Over 236.5 Passing Yards
What else can you say about Drake Maye? He’s the MVP favorite through 10 weeks and ranks third in the NFL in passing yards. Maye has gone over this line in seven of ten games, including three straight, and he’s done it despite ranking just 26th in pass attempts per game among qualified quarterbacks. Even if game script limits passing volume, Maye’s efficiency should carry him past this number once again.
Leg 2: Kyle Williams Over 20.5 Receiving Yards
Kyle Williams finally got a chance to show his talent last week and made the most of it with a 72-yard touchdown. While he saw only two targets, he ran a route on 53% of dropbacks, signaling that the Patriots want to integrate him more into the offense. Against a depleted Jets secondary, Williams should continue his upward trajectory in Week 11.
Leg 3: Hunter Henry Over 34.5 Receiving Yards
This is a get-right spot for Hunter Henry. The Jets rank 30th in DVOA against tight ends, struggling to cover the position due to shaky linebacker and safety play. While Henry’s production has fluctuated, his role hasn’t, as he leads the team with an 86.4% route participation rate. The opportunity is there for him to bounce back.
Leg 4: TreVeyon Henderson Under 79.5 Rushing Yards
People are excited about Henderson, for good reason. He had a ton of buzz after being drafted in the second round, and with injuries to multiple Patriots running backs, Henderson finally has the backfield to himself. That said, the Jets run defense has been surprisingly good this year, holding Quinshon Judkins to 3.4 yards per carry last week and ranking 15th in DVOA vs the run this season. As a starter, Henderson hasn’t topped 14 carries the last two weeks, so I’m not expecting anything like 20-plus carries.
