Week 13 is here, and it’s one of the best weeks of the entire NFL calendar.

We kick things off with a Thanksgiving triple-header on Thursday, followed by a must-see Black Friday showdown, a stacked Sunday slate, and a juicy Monday nighter.

I’m breaking down the best Week 13 NFL picks against the spread, so let’s jump right in.

Week 13 NFL picks against the spread

Matchup	Pick
Packers vs Lions	-2.5)
Chiefs vs Cowboys	-3)
Bengals vs Ravens	+7)
Bears vs Eagles	+7)
Jaguars vs Titans	+6.5)
Falcons vs Jets	+2.5)
Rams vs Panthers	-10.5)
Saints vs Dolphins	+5.5)
Cardinals vs Buccaneers	-3)
49ers vs Browns	-5.5)
Texans vs Colts	+4.5)
Vikings vs Seahawks	-10.5)
Bills vs Steelers	-3.5)
Raiders vs Chargers	-9.5)
Broncos vs Commanders	-6.5)
Giants vs Patriots	-7.5)

Lines courtesy of FanDuel.

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Expert Week 13 NFL ATS picks

Packers vs. Lions: Lions (-2.5)

The Detroit Lions were caught in a lookahead spot last week, which is why they needed overtime vs. the Giants. On a short week, with no travel, the Lions offense should be able to outscore the Packers’ inconsistent offense. 

Read our full Packers vs. Lions predictions.

Chiefs vs. Cowboys: Chiefs (-3)

The Chiefs also needed OT to fend off the Colts, but now they get a favorable matchup against a piss-poor defense. I expect Mahomes to carve up the Dallas secondary with ease. 

Read our full Chiefs vs. Cowboys predictions.

Bengals vs. Ravens: Bengals (+7)

Joe Burrow will be back under center for the Bengals here, and that’s enough to entice me to grab the +7 points in this divisional game. The Ravens were held to just 241 yards last week vs. the Jets, so covering more than a TD doesn’t sound too appealing.

Read our full Bengals vs. Ravens predictions.

Bears vs. Eagles: Bears (+7)

Speaking of appealing, the Bears look like a legit threat in the NFC while the Eagles appear to be going through the motions once again. Consistency is key, just like when making gravy. Take the Bears. 

Read our full Bears vs. Eagles predictions.

Jaguars vs. Titans: Titans (+6.5)

The Titans are that one team I refuse to pick against. Whether it be stupidity or other reasons that I cannot control, I don’t think they should be as bad as they are. Too. Many. Points. 

Read our full Jaguars vs. Titans predictions.

Falcons vs. Jets: Jets (+2.5)

Speaking of birds, the Atlanta Falcons are what you think a turkey should be, before you actually taste it. Disappointing. Injuries have played a huge part in their down season, but a win vs. the Saints doesn’t make them good. I’m calling the Jets to win this outright. 

Read our full Falcons vs. Jets predictions.

Rams vs. Panthers: Rams (-10.5)

Is he good, or is he bad? That’s the weekly question surrounding Bryce Young. You know who is good, tho? Matthew Stafford. He’ll continue to have this Rams offense humming in a runaway victory. 

Read our full Rams vs. Panthers predictions.

Saints vs. Dolphins: Saints (+5.5)

When you have bad vs. worse, you always have to take the points, which is what I’ll do here with the Saints. 

Read our full Saints vs. Dolphins predictions.

Cardinals vs. Buccaneers: Buccaneers (-3)

I don’t think the Buccaneers are as bad as they looked last week. Baker Mayfield should be back, and I trust him more than Jacoby Brissett. 

Read our full Cardinals vs. Buccaneers predictions.

49ers vs. Browns: 49ers (-5.5)

Shedeur Sanders got his first win as an NFL starter last week, and this week, he’ll suffer his first loss. If Brock Purdy can protect the ball, this game shouldn’t be close. 

Read our full 49ers vs. Browns predictions.

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Texans vs. Colts: Texans (+4.5)

Maybe I underestimated the Texans’ defense, which was nails last week against the Bills. I say they give Daniel Jones fits here while slowing down Jonathan Taylor. Grab the points in this divisional clash. 

Read our full Texans vs. Colts predictions.

Vikings vs. Seahawks: Seahawks (-10.5)

I’m out on the Vikings as a team, and with good reason. J.J. McCarthy will likely miss this game with a concussion, which means Max Brosmer will be tossed into the fire. Take the Seahawks on the Alt line of -16.5 at +178.

Read our full Vikings vs. Seahawks predictions.

Bills vs. Steelers: Bills (-3.5)

Whether it’s Aaron Rodgers or Mason Rudolph, I don’t like the Steelers’ chances. The Bills’ offensive line was bullied to a man last week, but I think they’ll be much better in this spot. Take the better offense. 

Read our full Bills vs. Steelers predictions.

Raiders vs. Chargers:  Chargers (-9.5)

I will not back the Raiders the rest of the year. This is my promise to you. 

Read our full Raiders vs. Chargers predictions.

Broncos vs. Commanders: Broncos (-6.5)

Both teams are coming off a bye, but one is playing for a division title, while the other is playing out the string. If the Broncos are anything less than 100% focused on this one, I would be shocked. 

Read our full Broncos vs. Commanders predictions.

Giants vs. Patriots: Patriots (-7.5)

In Drake Maye we trust. 

My NFL ATS record is 87-90-1 this season for -9 units.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here