The bad news is Prince’s Picks (yes, my picks) have gotten progressively worse each week of the season. The good news is there’s nowhere to go but up after I just went 0-4 in Week 3. The ceiling is the roof.
Unfortunately, I can’t promise my swing back to the top(ish) will begin Sunday, but that doesn’t mean we aren’t aiming for an immediate bounce back. And to help with that, we’re going to a former embattled receiver who’s having the exact type of rebound we’re looking for.
After coming under fire for an underwhelming start to his career as a former first-rounder, Quentin Johnston leads a prolific Los Angeles Chargers passing attack with 239 receiving yards on 17.1 yards per catch and three touchdowns. I like for him to keep it up as one of my favorite picks of the week. Let’s get into those here.
Week 3 record: 0-4
2025 record: 3-9
Prince’s passing prop: Brock Purdy Over 31.5 attempts (Jaguars at 49ers)
Passing prop record: 1-2
Teams aren’t having a whole lot of success passing on the Jaguars, but that doesn’t mean they aren’t trying, as the Jags defense has seen an average of 37.6 pass attempts through the first three games. In what shapes up to be another potentially close game, Purdy should near that total in his return to an offense that has attempted at least 35 passes in every game this season.
Prince’s rushing prop: Chuba Hubbard Under 51.5 yards (Panthers at Patriots)
Rushing prop record: 0-3
Aside from battling a hamstring injury, Hubbard will be battling a tough defense that hasn’t allowed this many yards to a single running back all season.
Prince’s receiving prop: Quentin Johnston Over 48.5 yards (Chargers at Giants)
Receiving prop record: 1-2
Johnston leads the Chargers in many receiving categories and has taken nearly an identical amount of snaps as Ladd McConkey, yet his line for this game is smaller than both McConkey and Keenan Allen. After going for over 70 yards in each of his first three games, I like him to eclipse this line against a bad Giants secondary.
Prince’s bonus prop: Brock Bowers Over 5.5 receptions (Bears at Raiders)
Bonus prop record: 1-2
This is a little bit of a risk, as Bowers hasn’t eclipsed five catches all season. In fact, he had just five targets (for for catches) all last week. However, I’m emboldened by his matchup against a Bears defense that’s allowed the third-most catches to tight ends this season, including 13 to Jake Ferguson last week.
This article originally appeared on For The Win: NFL Week 4 player props include Quentin Johnston, Brock Purdy and more
